Showing posts with label Business. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Business. Show all posts

Weak December sales show shoppers under pressure






(Reuters) – Some major U.S. retailers had a tough December, with chains like Target and Family Dollar feeling the pinch as consumers were cautious in their holiday spending.


The economy took a toll on shoppers in the most important quarter of the year for retailers. The holiday season was never expected to be stellar, but even the single-digit growth anticipated by chains and analysts came under pressure as Superstorm Sandy, the ever-present headlines about the “fiscal cliff” and the Connecticut school shootings affected consumers’ moods.






“The consumers’ confidence is off a bit, and I don’t think you can point to a single individual thing. It’s a culmination of things that hit their psyche,” said Madison Riley, managing director of retail consulting firm Kurt Salmon.


Among the chains reporting December sales at stores open at least a year on Thursday, Costco Wholesale Corp stood out with growth that topped expectations. Limited Brands Inc’s sales rose less than anticipated, marking a rare miss for the owner of the Victoria’s Secret chain.


Target Corp’s same-store sales were essentially flat, while analysts anticipated a 0.8 percent increase, according to Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.


Target said fourth-quarter earnings should meet or somewhat exceed the low end of its forecast. It said the number of transactions at existing stores slipped in the quarter, while the average transaction size increased. Food was its best seller.


Overall, analysts looked for 3.3 percent same-store sales growth for December across 17 chains, down from 4.2 percent growth in December 2011, according to Thomson Reuters I/B/E/S.


Chains also had a somewhat rough November, with same-store sales up a disappointing 1.6 percent.


Still, Kurt Salmon’s Riley predicted that if the upcoming debt ceiling debate goes better than the Washington wrangling to avoid the cliff, there could be a bigger uptick in consumer spending in 2013.


HITS AND MISSES


Macy’s Inc’s same-store sales were up 4.1 percent, just above the 4 percent analysts expected. But the department store chain lowered its fourth-quarter sales and profit forecasts because the rate of growth in November and December was “somewhat” less than it expected.


Family Dollar Stores Inc‘s same-store sales rose about 2.5 percent in December after increasing 6.6 percent in the preceding quarter.


“The holiday selling season proved to be more challenging than we expected as customers faced increasing financial uncertainty,” said Family Dollar Chairman and Chief Executive Howard Levine.


Limited’s same-store sales rose 3 percent versus expectations of a 4.5 percent increase, hurt by flat results at its Victoria’s Secret chain. Limited said its merchandise profit margin came in below its own forecast.


Wet Seal Inc said it expects a fourth-quarter loss at or near the bottom of its prior forecast. Wet Seal, which caters to teens, said same-store sales fell 9.7 percent. Analysts predicted the chain would have the weakest sales of any of the 17 chains reporting, but only anticipated a 5 percent decline.


Costco posted a 9 percent rise in December same-store sales, topping estimates for a 6.5 percent increase, boosted by an additional sales day in the reporting period. Higher fuel prices and a weaker dollar also helped.


(Reporting by Jessica Wohl in Chicago; Additional reporting by Phil Wahba in New York and Sakthi Prasad in Bangalore; Editing by Jeffrey Benkoe)


Economy News Headlines – Yahoo! News





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Markets rally on US fiscal deal







Continue reading the main story






Global stock markets have rallied after a short-term deal to stave off the US “fiscal cliff” was reached.


The Dow Jones gained 1.8% at the open on Wall Street, while European shares were up by more than 2% for the day.


Failure to agree a deal would have triggered spending cuts and tax rises worth $ 600bn (£370bn), expected to throw the US back into recession.


However, the deal has only postponed by two months negotiations over spending cuts and the government debt ceiling.


Just before the New Year, the US Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner indicated that the federal government would run up against the debt ceiling – a legal cap on its total borrowing set by Congress – by the end of February.


The fiscal cliff deal does not include an increase in the debt ceiling. It also postpones by two months steep automatic spending cuts to federal government spending on things like defence and education.


The fiscal cliff measures – immediate tax rises worth $ 536bn, as well as spending cuts of $ 109bn from benefit payments and domestic and military programmes – were due to come into effect automatically at midnight on Monday.


Tax rises


The deal has averted most of these measures, including:


Continue reading the main story

Start Quote



This week’s deal lifts the risk of an accidental recession – at least for a while”



End Quote



  • making permanent tax cuts dating back to George W Bush’s presidency, for individuals earning less than $ 400,000

  • postponing the $ 65bn of automatic spending cuts for two months

  • keeping benefits available for the long-term unemployed, worth $ 26bn, for another year

  • postponing for another year an $ 11bn cut in Medicare payments

However, the deal did also allow some tax rises to go ahead, namely:


  • the expiry of a payroll tax holiday, expected to raise $ 95bn in additional annual revenue

  • allowing the Bush-era income tax cuts for individuals earning over $ 400,000 to come to an end, with the top rate increasing from 35% to 40%

  • higher taxes on dividend income, capital gains and inheritance for these same top earners

  • phasing out certain income tax deductions for individuals earning more than $ 200,000

The increase in payroll taxes is likely to be the most significant of these measures, in terms of how much it raises in revenue for the government, the number of taxpayers affected, and its impact on the economy.


Payroll tax is paid by all employees. The tax holiday – which cut the rate from 6.2% to 4.2% – was introduced by President Barack Obama three years ago to help stimulate the lethargic economy by putting more money in the pockets of ordinary American workers, who were most likely to go out and spend it.


Continue reading the main story

Start Quote



The battle [over spending cuts] has just been shoved two months down the road”



End Quote



Economists suggest that its expiry is likely to have the biggest impact on spending – particularly consumer spending – in the US.


Jan Hatzius, chief economist at Goldman Sachs, has said it would reduce US economy growth by 0.6%.


‘Disappointment’


The deal has postponed the hardest decisions that Republican and Democratic politicians must still reach agreement on – over spending cuts and the debt ceiling.


Both issues will need to be addressed at the end of February, with Republicans likely to demand deep cuts, particularly to entitlement programmes such as social security, in return for an increase in the legal cap on government borrowing.


President Obama’s Democrats would prefer to reduce the government’s deficit via further tax rises.


“In the most immediate sense, they took their feet of the cliff, but once again they have taken the hard work and pushed it down the street,” said Daniel Costello, a US economics commentator.


Continue reading the main story

Fiscal cliff explained


  • On 1 January 2013, tax increases and huge spending cuts were due to come into force – the so-called fiscal cliff

  • The deadline was put in place in 2011 to force the president and Congress to agree ways to save money over the next 10 years

  • The fear was that raising taxes while massively cutting spending would have huge impact on households and businesses

  • Experts believed it could have pushed the US into recession, and had a global impact on growth

  • A deal has been reached delaying some of the tax rises and all of the spending cuts by at least two months


“It’s a huge disappointment. The Republicans deeply wanted spending cuts. Their long-term goal is to finally start chipping away at some of the entitlement spending [on welfare payments] that is just getting out of control.”


Entitlement payments are expected to rise sharply in the coming decades as the post-World War II baby-boom generation retires and enters old age, entailing more government-funded medical care.


“Two-thirds of all federal spending comes from entitlement spending – that means when you wake up in the morning, two-thirds of the money is already spent. By 2020, that goes up to 90%.”


When President Obama last faced off against the largely Republican-controlled Congress over the debt ceiling in 2011, negotiations went to the wire before agreement was reached to increase the ceiling from $ 14.3tn to $ 14.7tn.


Markets fell sharply at the time on fears that, legally barred from borrowing any more, the government might be forced to default on some of its payment obligations, with unknown but potentially significant legal consequences.


The political wrangling also prompted ratings agency Standard and Poor’s to deprive the US of its top AAA credit rating.


Temporary lift


Despite the deal’s shortcomings, markets took cheer from the fact that agreement had been reached on how to postpone and moderate the process of bringing the government’s overspending back under control.




Richard Hunter, Hargreaves Lansdown: “This points the market in the right direction”



The FTSE 100 index rose 145 points to 6,043 points, the first time it has been above the 6,000 level in 17 months, with mining shares leading the way.


The UK market was also boosted by a survey of production and new orders in the manufacturing sector, which showed activity at a 15-month high in December.


Shares worldwide had been hurt in November and December by fears that the US would not be able to reach any kind of agreement and would go off the cliff.


Analysts said the relief would not last.


Mike McCudden, head of derivatives at stockbroker Interactive Investor said: “There will no doubt be a few more twists and turns in the days ahead… but for now, investors have the concrete news they were hoping for.”


Joe Rundle, head of trading at ETX Capital, said: “Today’s bullish tone may continue as we head toward the weekend. but the euphoria will most certainly evaporate, as the deal voted through does not include raising the debt ceiling and longer-term budget cuts.


“It’s only a matter of time before market participants lose their buzz as US lawmakers will have to reconvene to address the remainder of unresolved issues.”


BBC News – Business





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Commissions banned on new sales







Financial advisers and sales staff can no longer be paid commissions by the firms whose policies they are selling.






New rules, aimed at eradicating the long-standing practice, are being imposed by the Financial Services Authority (FSA) from now.


The aim is to stop policies – such as private pensions and investments – being mis-sold by sales staff, motivated by commission payments.


Instead, customers must be quoted up-front fees, and be told about charges.


Sales staff or financial advisers will also have to state if they are really independent, or restricted to just selling the policies of particular financial groups.


The reforms form part of a series of changes in the financial services industry called the Retail Distribution Review, and which were first proposed by the FSA back in early 2010.


Linda Woodall at the FSA said: “The changes will improve customer confidence – we want people to feel that they are getting a service from their financial adviser that is relevant to their circumstances and in their best interests.


Continue reading the main story

Start Quote


d86d0   65017715 tadcaster Commissions banned on new sales


The danger here is that quality financial advice becomes something only for the wealthy”



End Quote Keith Tadhunter Independent Financial Adviser


“These changes are about making the cost of advice clearer, where else would you buy something without knowing in advance how much it costs?


“Customers will now know how much advice is costing them, the service that they are receiving and be reassured that their adviser is qualified.”


Mis-selling scandals


The changes should ensure that independent financial advisers no longer receive payment for their advice by taking a regular cut of their clients funds via commission payments, something the clients may not be aware of at all.


The new policy will apply to the sale of investments such as pensions, annuities and unit trusts, but not to some mortgages and insurance policies.


Alan Higham, an expert on annuities – a pension income for life – believes that there is also a loophole with sales of annuities.


He said that “limited pension advice” – which provides guidance, quotes and explains terms and accounts for about a third of annuity sales – is not covered by the new rules.


This is because the client has made the decision without recommended pension advice from an adviser. If anything is wrong with the choice, then it is the client’s responsibility, rather than the adviser’s.


Commission-driven sales are thought to have been at the heart of the huge mis-selling scandals of the past few decades, affecting the sale of endowment policies, personal pensions and most recently payment protection insurance (PPI).


Even apart from those scandals, the FSA estimated in 2010 that mis-selling in general was costing UK financial consumers about half a billion pounds a year.


Continue reading the main story

Suggested questions to IFAs


  • How much will your advice cost me and how is this calculated?

  • Can you explain the different ways I can pay for advice?

  • Can you explain what products you can advise me on and any areas you cannot help me with?

  • How often will you review my investments?

  • Can you show me proof that you are qualified to give advice?

Source: Financial Services Authority



A recent survey for the FSA found that 17% of adults currently take advice from a professional financial adviser and another 32% would consider doing so.


But a third of the respondents thought, wrongly, that the advice was free and that they did not have to pay a charge.


‘Danger’


Financial advisers have said that some operators in their industry have given it a bad name. However, some argue that the change in the rules could create issues for those who may not actively seek financial products, such as a pension.


“The danger here is that quality financial advice becomes something only for the wealthy, when in reality, most people need it to some degree – as poor rates of saving across the population only go to show,” said Keith Tadhunter, an independent financial adviser at Future Financial in Bath.


But Martin Wheatley, the chief executive designate of the Financial Conduct Authority, said that – although there was a savings gap in the UK – people had not trusted financial services.


“This is part of getting trust back into finance,” he said.


He expected the industry to change, with many more options explained through websites for people looking to save or invest in the long-term.


The new policies will also stop, from the end of 2013, the practice of businesses such as fund supermarkets or online discount stockbrokers accepting payments from some of the investment funds whose policies they are selling.


This is also thought to lead to biased sales, which may not be in the best interests of private investors.


Part of these payments has sometimes found its way back to the personal investor in the form of a cash rebate, but they are also used to cross-subsidise the provision of other services, such as stock and shares Isas.


BBC News – Business





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Pending home sales hit two-and-half year high in November






WASHINGTON (Reuters) – Contracts to buy previously owned U.S. homes rose in November to their highest level in 2-1/2 years, an industry group said on Friday, further evidence of a strengthening housing market recovery.


The National Association of Realtors said its Pending Home Sales Index, based on contracts signed last month, increased 1.7 percent to 106.4 – the highest level since April 2010 when the home-buyer tax credit expired.






Economists polled by Reuters had expected signed contracts, which become sales after a month or two, to rise 1.0 percent after a revised 5.0 percent increase in October. It was the third straight month of gains.


“Home sales are recovering now based solely on fundamental demand and favorable affordability conditions,” said NAR chief economist Lawrence Yun.


Pending home sales were up 9.8 percent in the 12 months through November.


The housing market has turned the corner after a dramatic collapse, which dragged the economy through its worst recession since the Great Depression of the 1930s.


Home sales and prices are rising, encouraging builders to undertake new construction projects.


Home resale contracts were up in three of the country’s four regions. They were unchanged in the South.


(Reporting By Lucia Mutikani; Editing by Neil Stempleman)


Business News Headlines – Yahoo! News





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‘Boxing Day record’ for web retail












Record numbers visited UK retail websites on Boxing Day, with analysts suggesting shoppers are also using the internet to identify bargains.


Information service Experian said UK consumers made 113 million visits to retailers’ websites during 26 December.


High Streets are expected to be busy again for the post-Christmas sales, with large department stores such as John Lewis throwing open their doors.


Some big name retailers started their online sales on Christmas Day.


UK internet users made 84 million visits to retail websites on Christmas Eve and 107 million visits on Christmas Day, up 86% and 71% respectively compared to the same days in December 2011, according to Experian.


“The UK sales creep continues to advance so that now the post-Christmas sales are starting before Christmas,” said James Murray, digital insight manager at Experian.


“Five years ago we called it the January sales, before it became the Boxing Day sales, now retailers have to call it the winter sales as discounting starts earlier to encourage higher spending.”


Retail consultants have said that many people heading out to the shops will have already browsed online to choose the items they want.


Activity


Continue reading the main story

Start Quote



[The internet] has an influence on the High Street with shoppers doing more research beforehand”



End Quote Matt Piner Founder, Conlumino


The squeeze on family finances is likely to keep the lid on retail sales, especially on big ticket items.


A lack of activity in the housing market is also reducing demand for some household items that might have been replaced as people move home.


However, some positive news in employment levels means that some stores could still record a decent level of sales in the significant post-Christmas sales period.


The first indications of the level of activity in the post-Christmas sales, the footfall figures from Experian, will be published later.


Online research


The growth of the internet means that the peak in sales might already have taken place.


Mr Murray, of Experian, said that 26 December was traditionally the single biggest shopping day of the year online.


And now, shoppers are using digital devices such as tablets and smartphones to search for bargains – then only travel to those specific shops to buy those items.


“The internet has been a huge factor in retail all year, and has an influence on the High Street with shoppers doing more research beforehand,” said Matt Piner, founder of retail research agency Conlumino.


He said items such as laptops and furniture in particular were identified by shoppers during online browsing, rather than in a store.


‘Cautious’


John Lewis, which starts its sale in department stores on Thursday, said it had seen notable activity during its online clearance sale. That started at 1700GMT on 24 December.


Continue reading the main story

Start Quote



UK retailing is set for another year of tough trading”



End Quote Maureen Hinton Verdict


On Christmas Day, the department store said online sales peaked late in the evening. Items that proved popular included electrical items, sheets and pillowcases, luxury towels and candles.


Analysts said the departure of some high-profile names from the High Street had helped some of the remaining department stores. However, many had targeted “cautious” shoppers with discounts in the run-up to Christmas, according to Rahul Sharma, of Neev Capital, a retail consultancy.


He said that shoppers were offered discounts of 20% to 30% in the build up to Christmas, to tempt them into buying items for themselves, as well as presents.


This meant that clearance sales might be muted this year, with many of the items that stores wanted to shift already having been sold.


Predictions


Analysts have suggested that DIY and gardening will see the strongest performance in the retail sector in 2013, compared with 2012.


Poor weather in the past 12 months meant that sales have been low. This, together with homeowners improving homes ready to go on the market, should lead to a rebound in the coming year, according to Verdict and SAS UK.


The groups predicted that spending on food was likely to raise roughly in line with inflation.


However, they say that music and video spending will be hit the hardest, with a predicted 6.3% fall compared with 2012, owing to online streaming and cheaper internet prices.


The amount people spent online was expected to account for 12% of total retail spending, they added.


“UK retailing is set for another year of tough trading,” said Maureen Hinton, of Verdict.


BBC News – Business





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Tube drivers in Boxing Day strike









BBC News spoke to commuters at Edgware Road station in London, some branding the strike “really inconvenient”



A number of London Underground drivers have gone on strike in a long-running row over bank holiday pay.


Transport for London (TfL) says there is likely to be “significant disruption” to Tube services, and more buses will be laid on.


Members of the Aslef union have walked out for 24 hours after voting 9-1 in favour of strike action.


TfL said limited services were running on the Tube, although there are some services running on all lines.


It urged passengers to check before travelling. There are no services on London Overground.


TfL said the Bakerloo, Central and Victoria lines were running services through central London.


The District, Hammersmith & City, Circle, Metropolitan, Northern and Jubilee lines are running limited services.


The Piccadilly line is operating a shuttle service between Heathrow terminals and Hammersmith, and between Arnos Grove and Cockfosters.


The Docklands Light Railway is also operating, except between Canning Town and Beckton and between Shadwell and Bank.


‘Scandalous actions’


Tfl said services could vary throughout the day depending on the resources available.


It said there would be extra buses for shoppers heading for the West End and for the Westfield shopping centres in east and west London.


Otherwise, the capital’s 700 bus routes will operate a Sunday service.


The congestion charge for vehicles entering central London does not apply during the festive period and there are no on-street parking charges in Westminster.


It is the third successive walkout by Tube drivers on what is the first day of the post-Christmas sales.


Howard Collins, London Underground’s chief operating officer, criticised the union for demanding to be paid “twice for the same work”.


“The scandalous actions of the Aslef leadership are an attempt to hold Londoners to ransom, and demonstrate a wholesale disregard for our customers,” he said.


“We will be running as many services as possible, supported by London’s 700 bus routes, but there will be disruption.”


The disruption, which led to the Premier League derby between Arsenal and West Ham United being postponed, is due to continue with two further walkouts on the last two Fridays in January.


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Monti ‘available to lead Italy’







Italian Prime Minister Mario Monti says he is not siding for now with any party in upcoming elections, but remains available to head a future government.






Mr Monti said he was ready to lead any coalition committed to his reforms.


The caretaker prime minister said he was unable to accept an offer from former Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi to lead a centrist coalition.


Elections are to be held in February. Mr Monti resigned after Mr Berlusconi’s party withdrew its support.


Mr Monti was nominated as technocratic prime minister in November 2011, after Mr Berlusconi’s centre-right coalition government fell amidst a financial and economic crisis.


Speaking at a news conference in Rome, Mr Monti urged Italian parties not to destroy what he said was his government’s achievement in saving Italy from that crisis.


“That financial emergency has been overcome,” he said. “Italians can once again hold their heads high as citizens of Europe.”


Keeping options open


Asked repeatedly if he was going to run in the 24-25 February election, Mr Monti said he cared more about policies than about the personalities involved in the election.


“I’m not siding with anyone – I’d like parties and social forces to side with ideas,” he said.


But he added: “To the forces that show convinced and credible adherence to the Monti agenda, I would be ready to give my advice, my encouragement and if necessary leadership,” he said.


“I would also be ready to assume one day, if required by circumstances, the responsibilities that would be entrusted to me by the parliament.”


The BBC’s David Willey says Mr Monti, whose possible role in February’s election has been the subject of intense speculation in Italy, is playing his cards close to his chest – whilst keeping his options open.


Mr Monti, 69, is an economist and former EU commissioner who first served as a minister under Mr Berlusconi in 1994.


His government has been praised for its initial reforms and for calming financial markets, though much of its reform agenda has been watered down or blocked.


On Sunday, he appealed to parties to push through further reforms of Italy’s labour market and its institutions.


He also criticised Mr Berlusconi for recently attacking the technocratic government, despite having previously praised it.


“I struggle to follow his line of thought,” Mr Monti said.


Mr Berlusconi, 76, has been mired in a series of sexual and financial scandals.


He made conflicting statements about whether he would remain in politics before launching into his sixth general election campaign.


Current polls suggest the centre-left Democratic Party led by Pier Luigi Bersani would win the most votes in a general election.


BBC News – Business





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LSE agrees LCH Clearnet purchase







The London Stock Exchange is to buy a 60% stake in LCH Clearnet, the European clearing house, but for a lower price.






The LSE will pay 366m euros ($ 482m; £300m), about 100m euros below the original offer price.


The lower price reflected new European rules requiring clearing houses to hold more capital, the companies said.


Clearing houses enable the trading of shares between two parties, charging a fee to guarantee the sales should one side default.


By requiring clearing houses to hold more money in reserve, the authorities hope to protect such firms against a major customer hitting a financial crisis.


“Today’s announcement is a success for LSE shareholders,” said Peter Lenardos, analyst at RBC Capital Markets.


“We believe that shareholder approvals will be sought in January and we still expect the transaction to complete in the first quarter of 2013.”


The deal was originally due to be completed by the end of this year. The UK’s Office of Fair Trading approved the acquisition earlier this month.


By taking over LCH, the LSE should be better able to compete with rivals such as NYSE Euronext and Deutsche Börse, which own clearing houses.


Demand for clearing transactions are expected to increase over the next few years as regulators force banks and other parties to channel trades through regulated clearing houses to ensure their risk positions can be better monitored.


BBC News – Business





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China and India: The $10 Trillion Engine of Future U.S. Growth






My friend and colleague Michael J. Silverstein, writing in this space in late October, mentioned that the most dangerous thing about China is America’s misguided attitude toward the country. In short, we appear to be afraid of China’s success.


The U.S. has never before run from a challenge. This is the wrong time to start.






As Silverstein and his co-authors—Carol Liao, David Michael, and Abheek Singhi—point out in their new book, The $ 10 Trillion Prize, one of the reasons many Americans feel threatened by China is they don’t know a lot about the country. What they do “know,” by and large, is what they’ve been told by politicians and others who accuse China of stealing U.S. jobs.


Yes, many low-skill, low-wage U.S. jobs have moved elsewhere, in many cases to China. Yes, many low-cost, mass-produced products that used to be made here are now being made there, and in other low-cost countries, such as India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Mexico, Thailand, and Vietnam. And, yes, many of those jobs will never come back.


But as China and the other developing countries grow, they also become potential customers for U.S. goods and services, from corn and soybeans to automobiles, commercial jetliners, heavy machinery, construction and farm equipment, and banking, investment, and insurance services, to name just a few.


It wasn’t that long ago that the prevailing American vision of the Middle Kingdom was that of millions of mindless peasants marching in automaton-like lockstep to the orders of the party bosses. They led lives of drudgery, on collective farms, toiling for mere survival. Everybody dressed like Chairman Mao. Dissent was met with tanks. And it wasn’t that long ago that that may have been accurate in some respects.


But China today, as Silverstein and his co-authors make clear, is a booming multiclass society with hundreds of millions of people who want nothing more than their own version of the American Dream: a nice home, a quality car, a good education for their children, appliances and conveniences, better health care, stylish clothes, more time for travel and leisure. In short: a better life for the next generation than the current generation enjoyed. The same is true in India.


The authors visited with and tell the stories of dozens of Chinese and Indian families and entrepreneurs who are striving for the same things Americans want—and for the first time in their lives, they have the money to get them.


My colleagues have calculated that between 2010 and 2020, Chinese and Indian consumers will spend some $ 64 trillion on goods and services. Chinese consumers will spend approximately $ 41.5 trillion, with annual expenditures reaching more than $ 6 trillion in 2020. Indians will spend $ 22.5 trillion, with annual spending hitting an estimated $ 3.6 trillion by 2020. Combined, they will be spending some $ 10 trillion per year by 2020—more than three times what they spent in 2010.


That’s what U.S. politicians and business leaders should be talking about: the promise of China and India as engines of future U.S. growth. That’s the prize the book is about.


China and India today show the kind of unbridled optimism that used to be the hallmark of America. Many Chinese and Indian entrepreneurs expect their companies to grow by factors of 10 over the next decade.


Rather than fear such growth, Americans should embrace it, wish them well, and make sure our businesses, farms, and factories are prepared to meet their needs.


Businessweek.com — Top News





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Can Nepal’s Republic Be Saved?






11785  maha aziz Can Nepals Republic Be Saved?


If you were a politician in Nepal during the past two years, there’s some chance you may have been slapped. In January 2011—as well as in May and November of this year—three citizens who were fed up with chronic government inaction physically attacked three senior politicians.






Nepal’s citizens survived 10 years of a bloody Maoist insurrection that killed an estimated 16,000 people but also brought about the end of a centuries-old monarchy in 2008. Since then, however, the country has been hampered by chronic political and economic crises that have created a severe legitimacy crisis for the ruling elites. Can this nascent republic be saved?


It seems to be an impossible challenge in the near term. The current political crisis is so dire that there has been no parliament since May. In November, hints surfaced of a presidential coup to oust the Maoist-led caretaker government of Prime Minister Baburam Bhattarai. President Ram Baran Yadav heard advice from the military chief and the Indian ambassador about the best way out of the crisis, but he ultimately took no action. Weeks later, the political crisis persists.


On Nov. 29, Prime Minister Bhatterai and various political factions failed to meet the president’s deadline to form a national unity government that would lead to parliamentary elections for April or May. On Dec. 6, the factions failed again to meet the extended deadline. A day later, on Dec. 7, President Yadav offered yet another six-day extension. But the ruling alliance of the Unified Communist Party of Nepal (Maoist) and United Democratic Joint Madhesi Front, as well as the opposition Nepali Congress and Communist Party of Nepal, failed to select a prime ministerial candidate, missing the latest deadline. Amid such political deadlock, there has been no progress on a new constitution—a critical component of the peace deal that ended the Maoist civil war in the first place.


This political crisis has amplified the economic weaknesses of the aid-dependent country, a quarter of whose population lives below the poverty line. Youth unemployment is over 40 percent and job creation is a struggle, especially with growth expected to drop to 3.8 percent in 2012-13, from 4.5 percent the previous year, according to the International Monetary Fund. The approval of the government’s budget on Nov. 21 averted a major financial crisis that would have left half a million civil servants, soldiers, and police without pay. This was a rare spot of good news for the dysfunctional country.


Though India and China already have significant stakes in their neighbor, the political crisis puts further foreign investment in jeopardy. One report suggests that Nepal’s diplomats have secured additional investment abroad, but this is contingent on the establishment of a constitution and the return of political stability. Other potential investors, including many businessmen from Saudi Arabia, have admitted losing interest in Nepal because of the political impasse. The country’s dismal ranking of 141 (out of 176 countries) on Transparency International’s Corruption Perceptions Index, the recurring power crisis, and additional structural limitations are not helping matters.


If the political and economic situation continues to stagnate, and no constitution is finalized to unite the people, it is likely that ethnic and religious differences—as well as the frustrations of historically marginalized groups from lower castes—will serve as significant sources of conflict.


It’s clear that the ruling elites are rapidly losing domestic legitimacy. Unfortunately, this has not motivated them to resolve the political crisis with dispatch. Perhaps it’s time for foreign donors to apply overt pressure on Nepal by making future aid conditional on a resolution to the political deadlock.


Even if a political consensus emerges as to how to move forward, it will take time before Nepal’s rulers regain the legitimacy needed to allow the government to ease the economic crisis. If no consensus is reached in 2013, mass street protests—which in the past brought down the monarchy—are likely to resurface. The way things are going, another Nepali politician could get slapped.


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US budget negotiations setback drives stocks down






PARIS (AP) — A failed attempt find a compromise in U.S. budget negotiations sent global stock markets plummeting Friday, as investors feared the world’s largest economy could teeter into recession if no deal is found.


Without an agreement, the U.S. economy will fall off the so-called “fiscal cliff” on Jan. 1 when Bush-era tax cuts expire and spending cuts kick in automatically. The measures were designed to have a negative effect on the U.S. economy, in the hopes that the feared outcome would push lawmakers and President Barack Obama to find a deal.






“We’ve seen Europe’s politicians repeatedly flirt lemming-like with cliff-diving in 2012, and now it’s the turn of U.S. ‘leaders,’” said Kit Juckes, an analyst with Societe Generale. “The nagging fear is always there that someone, on one side of the Atlantic or the other, will forget to let rational thought take over at the last second.”


Amid the uncertainty, European shares fell. France’s CAC dropped 0.15 percent to 3,661, while the DAX in Germany dropped 0.6 percent at 7,626. The FTSE index of leading British shares retreated 0.6 percent to 5,929.


The euro also fell sharply, dropping 0.3 percent to $ 1.3182.


In Asia, Japan’s Nikkei 225 index closed 1 percent lower at 9,940.06. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng lost 0.7 percent to 22,506.29. South Korea’s Kospi shed 1 percent at 1,980.42. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 fell 0.2 percent to 4,623.60. Mainland Chinese stocks were mixed.


U.S. stock futures tumbled after rank-and-file Republican lawmakers failed to support an alternative tax plan by House Speaker John Boehner late Thursday in Washington. That plan would have allowed tax rates to rise on households earning $ 1 million and up. Obama wants the level to be $ 400,000.


In early trading in New York, the Dow Jones industrial average dropped 1 percent to 13,183, while the broader Standard & Poor’s index fell 1.1 percent at 1,427.


“The fiscal cliff is a real threat not just for U.S. growth next year but for the outlook for global growth,” said Jane Foley, currency analyst with Rabobank.


When growth slows, energy demand does, too, and oil prices fell in anticipation.


Benchmark crude for February delivery fell $ 1.92 to $ 88.19 per barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange.


___


Pamela Sampson in Bangkok and Fu Ting in Shanghai contributed to this report.


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Japan’s Nikkei outperforms as opposition wins big






LONDON (AP) — Japanese shares outperformed all others Monday amid hopes that the new government will enact fresh stimulus measures to boost the world’s third-largest economy.


Signs that U.S. politicians are inching toward a budget deal helped Wall Street open stronger than earlier predicted and shored up European markets after a bad morning.






The standout index was Japan‘s Nikkei 225, which closed up 0.9 percent at 9,828.88, its highest level since April, after the country’s Liberal Democratic Party swept back into power at weekend elections with a landslide victory.


Party chief Shinzo Abe, who is in line to become prime minister, favors increased spending on public works and setting a 3 percent economic growth target. He’s also expected to lobby for stronger action by the central bank to get Japan out of its deflationary trap.


“Japanese equities rallied today on the back of a resounding victory by Shinzo Abe‘s LDP, giving them a mandate to boost economic growth through more aggressive fiscal and monetary easing,” said Rebecca O’Keeffe, head of investment at Interactive Investor.


Expectations of further stimulus in Japan, despite the country’s sky-high debt levels and doubts over the effectiveness of looser economic policy, further weighed on the yen. The dollar was 0.4 percent higher at $ 83.73 yen.


The yen’s recent weakness is a potential boon to the country’s powerhouse exporters. Automaker Nissan Motor Co. rose 1.8 percent, Sony Corp. climbed 1.4 percent and Panasonic Corp jumped 2.3 percent.


Elsewhere, markets remained largely beholden to developments over the U.S. budget. The concern is whether the White House and Congress will agree a budget deal in time to avoid the “fiscal cliff” of automatic tax increases and spending cuts at the start of next year.


In Europe, the FTSE 100 index of leading British shares was down 0.4 percent at 5,896 while Germany’s DAX fell 0.1 percent to 7,590. The CAC-40 in France was 0.3 percent lower at 3,631.


In the U.S., the Dow Jones industrial average was up 0.5 percent at 13,194 while the broader S&P 500 index rose the same rate to 1,421.


Though the budget measures associated with the “fiscal cliff” would not all be introduced at once and the Republicans have indicated a willingness to increase taxes on households earning over $ 1 million, investors won’t breathe easily until a deal is signed, sealed and delivered.


“Investors have so far remained hopeful that an agreement can be reached in a sufficiently timely manner,” said Nick Bennenbroek, an analyst at Wells Fargo Bank. “However, with a year-end deadline for a deal now looming closer, those budget developments should become increasingly important through the end of December.”


In recent weeks, the dollar had suffered, at least against the euro, due to the U.S. budget fears. On Monday, the currencies were steady, with the euro up 0.1 percent at $ 1.3165.


Oil markets were subdued too, with the price of benchmark New York crude up 27 cents at $ 87 a barrel.


Elsewhere in Asia, China’s shares fared fairly well as its new leaders promised more spending if needed to underpin a wobbly economic recovery. Those hopes helped the Shanghai Composite to rise 0.4 percent to 2,160.34 and the smaller Shenzhen Composite index to end 0.4 percent higher to 819.58.


On Sunday, China’s new Communist Party leaders under party General Secretary Xi Jinping pledged a “proactive fiscal policy” and “prudent monetary policy” in a statement carried by the official Xinhua News Agency. They were references to the willingness to boost spending if needed and keep credit easy so long as inflation stays low.


Elsewhere in Asia, South Korea’s Kospi lost 0.6 percent to 1,983.07 and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng was down 0.4 percent at 22,513.61.


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Cinnabon in Tripoli: Libya Opens Up to Foreign Business






After 42 years, the country formerly known as the Great Socialist People’s Libyan Arab Jamahiriya is getting its first taste of consumer capitalism in an unlikely form: sweet, sticky cinnamon rolls. Cinnabon, the Atlanta-based bakery chain, is at the vanguard of a potential business boom in the North African country, which deposed dictator Muammar Qaddafi last year in a bloody civil war. In July the unit of Focus Brands became the first U.S. franchise to open since the revolution, with a two-level Tripoli outlet. It’s become a popular destination in a city with few diversions for residents.


7aca0  comp cinnabon51  01  405 Cinnabon in Tripoli: Libya Opens Up to Foreign BusinessThe shop on Tripoli’s version of Fifth Avenue






Cinnabon’s bet on Libya—it plans to open at least 10 new locations over the next five years—shows the perils and potential of this wealthy new consumer market, which is being eyed by a growing number of foreign companies. Yes, Libya has a rickety electricity grid and few formal property rights. And due to ongoing sectarian violence, it remains a dangerous place. But the country sits atop Africa’s biggest oil reserves, which may generate as much as $ 55 billion for the state oil company this year. That means there are plenty of well-off locals and expats who can afford to pay for a Western-style sweet.


7aca0  comp cinnabon51  01  202 Cinnabon in Tripoli: Libya Opens Up to Foreign BusinessPhoto illustration by 731; Photograph by Getty Images


The country is a less incongruous place for Cinnabon than one might expect. Syrupy treats like baklava are beloved in Libya, as in other Arab countries, so local palates are ready-made for the chain, explains Mike Shattuck, president of Focus Brands International. What’s more, in a Muslim country where bars are almost nonexistent, young people need places to hang out. Finally, an influx of investment from Persian Gulf property developers means “down the road there’s no question there will be a big mall culture,” providing the natural habitat for future Cinnabon outlets.


For now the Tripoli store is very much a foreign oddity. Positioned as more upscale than the chain’s food court roots in the U.S., the shop has become a fixture on Gargaresh Road, Libya’s Fifth Avenue, where it attracts an affluent clientele. The prices are First World as well: A cinnamon bun and a regular coffee cost 6.50 dinars, or about $ 5.15, close to the price in the U.S.


The franchise owners, brothers Arief and Ahmed Swaidek, first planned to open Cinnabon in 2008, but bureaucracy delayed completion of the store until January 2011. A splashy grand opening was abandoned when revolution broke out that February. Nonetheless, news of the shop spread quickly after its opening this July.


On a recent evening the store was busy with young customers, about two-thirds of them women, who tend to avoid the traditionally male-dominated coffeehouses. Unlike at most Western restaurants, all of the staff are male. In addition to the chain’s signature pastries, it serves Carvel ice cream (another Focus Brands product), sandwiches, salads, and cakes. An upstairs lounge caters to patrons who want to linger, and the shop stays open until about 11 p.m. to accommodate the local preference for late-night snacking. All that activity can push Libya’s patchy infrastructure to the limit: The utility in Tripoli can’t always cope with two floors of full-blast air conditioning. The franchise relied on a generator to keep things cool during the busy Ramadan season, says store manager Ehab Abdelo-Meged.


7aca0  comp cinnabon51  02  202 Cinnabon in Tripoli: Libya Opens Up to Foreign Business


Serving Middle Eastern customers isn’t new for Cinnabon, whose portfolio of 900 worldwide locations includes outlets in Kuwait, Jordan, and Egypt. It also has experience operating in less-than-salubrious locales such as Pakistan and El Salvador. Still, Libya presents particular challenges. Security in Tripoli is shaky. In August, Salafi Muslim militants demolished a downtown mosque of the more moderate Sufi sect with bulldozers. Libya has yet to charge anyone with the murders of U.S. Ambassador Chris Stevens and three of his officials, killed when the Benghazi consulate was stormed in September. Kidnappings, including that of the head of Libya’s Olympic Committee in July, are a fact of life. And gunfire can be heard most nights in the capital.


Shattuck points to more mundane concerns, such as sourcing ingredients (the majority are imported from the U.S. on a quarterly basis) and finding a reliable way to pay suppliers in a country that still lacks a modern banking system. “There are a lot of institutional needs still, from our perspective. But we feel things are moving in the right direction,” he says.


Others are optimistic as well. Companies from France Télécom (FTE) to Qatar National Bank (QNRK) are looking to invest in Libya as Prime Minister Ali Zaidan’s new government plans to kick-start asset sales, privatize state companies, and break up monopolies. “I’m 10 times more bullish on Libya than I was at the end of 2010,” says Abdulla Boulsien, a former Merrill Lynch (BAC) investment banker who helps run Tuareg Capital, a Libya-focused private equity firm. So Cinnabon is unlikely to be the sole refuge for Libyans craving an American-style dining experience for long. “It’s a virgin land,” manager Abdelo-Meged says of the country. “Any franchise coming here will be a success.”


The bottom line: Libya, with 6 million citizens and $ 55 billion in state oil revenue this year, is attracting Western investments like Tripoli’s new Cinnabon cafe.


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UBS faces $1.6 billion fine over Libor rigging: paper






ZURICH (Reuters) – UBS faces a fine of 1.5 billion Swiss francs ($ 1.63 billion) to settle interest rate rigging charges, a Swiss newspaper reported on Saturday.


Citing unnamed sources, Tages-Anzeiger daily said the bank would admit 36 traders around the globe manipulated yen Libor between 2005 and 2010. A UBS spokesman declined to comment.






People familiar with the matter told Reuters on Friday UBS could reach a $ 1-billion-plus settlement and admit to criminal wrongdoing by its Japanese arm, where one of its traders manipulated yen Libor and euroyen contracts.


Between 25 and 30 people have left UBS over the matter, the sources said. The Swiss bank had hoped for a softer touch from regulators by cooperating in industry-wide probes and was surprised by the size of the expected settlement, they added.


A 1.5 billion franc settlement would be the biggest ever paid by the bank, recovering from a $ 2.3-billion trading fraud by London-based trader Kweku Adoboli for which it was fined 30 million pounds ($ 48.36 million) last month.


A settlement would make UBS the second major bank to be sanctioned for its role in the Libor scandal. Britain’s Barclays paid a $ 450 million fine in June.


Libor is the rate used as a benchmark for pricing trillions of dollars worth of financial instruments and contracts around the globe. Tiny shifts in the rate, compiled from daily polls of bankers, could benefit dealers in complex products.


HEADING FOR LOSS


Tages-Anzeiger said the fine, together with restructuring charges of 500 million francs from plans to cut 10,000 staff as UBS winds down its fixed income business, would probably push the bank to a fourth-quarter loss.


UBS had already said costs related to the investment banking overhaul would lead to a fourth-quarter and full-year loss after it posted a third-quarter net loss of 2.172 billion francs. It is due to publish full-year results on February 5.


By admitting to a charge against its Japanese subsidiary, UBS would stop short of admitting wrongdoing at a group level, which could be fatal for a bank as it could lose its license.


Chairman Axel Weber, who joined UBS this year after stepping down as head of the German central bank, has been on a whirlwind diplomatic tour over the probe, the Tages-Anzeiger reported.


Swiss newspapers noted that Mark Branson, now responsible for overseeing big banks for Swiss financial markets regulator Finma, was chief executive of UBS Japan at the time of the alleged rate rigging.


A Finma spokesman said Branson had removed himself from Finma’s investigation into Libor to avoid any appearance of conflict of interest but declined to comment further.


In 2009, UBS paid $ 780 million to settle a messy U.S. investigation into tax evasion by admitting it had helped wealthy Americans evade and cheat on their taxes. ($ 1 = 0.9218 Swiss francs) ($ 1 = 0.6204 British pounds)


(Reporting by Emma Thomasson; editing by Jason Webb)


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Walmart vs. Walmart






Cindy Murray has been working at Walmart store No. 1985 in Laurel, Md., for 13 years. She’s stationed in the fitting rooms and earns $ 12.40 an hour. Murray, who’s in her fifties, says she loves her job. She thinks of herself as a model employee. She also helped start OUR Walmart, or Organization United for Respect at Walmart, the group of employees who defied one of the most powerful companies in America by holding protests at about 1,000 stores on the busiest day of the year for retailers. OUR Walmart says it has at least 4,000 members. The protests, on the Friday after Thanksgiving, involved about 500 of them, as well as many thousands of others sympathetic to their cause. Murray and her colleagues are asking Wal-Mart Stores (WMT) for more full-time jobs with predictable schedules instead of part-time work with hours that can change every three weeks—and wages that can provide their families a decent life. They also want respect.


ff948  feature walmart51  03  inline405 Walmart vs. WalmartPhotograph by Christopher Leaman for Bloomberg BusinessweekOUR Walmart member Cindy Murray in Maryland






On the morning of Nov. 23, instead of going to work, Murray put on her bright green OUR Walmart T-shirt and boarded a bus provided by the United Food and Commercial Workers Union, which has tried and failed to unionize Walmart associates for more than a decade. “Walmart isn’t on a good path, and someone needs to stand up and speak out,” says Murray. “But we always have fear inside of us, too.” They weren’t sure how many police would be present or if shoppers would support them. They weren’t sure if afterward their hours would be cut or if managers would make their lives difficult. None of them could afford to lose their jobs.


Murray was one of several hundred people, employees and activists and community leaders, who met at a store in nearby Hanover, Md. She helped lead chants, including “Stand up! Live better!” a play on Walmart’s slogan, “Pay less, live better.” They sang and marched for a couple of hours, then moved on to another store. At 7 a.m. on Saturday, she punched in for her regular shift.


Walmart is the largest private employer in the U.S., with nearly 1.4 million workers in 4,602 stores. The company operates in 26 other countries, employing an additional 780,000 people. Its efficiency, in stores and throughout its supply chain, has remade the retail industry. When Walmart decides to sell mortgages, local produce, or compact fluorescent light bulbs, the effects ripple through the economy. So do its decisions about workers’ schedules, wages, and benefits. With revenue of $ 464 billion over the past year, it’s the biggest company in the U.S.


As it has expanded, Walmart has been vilified by activists and watchdog groups who say the company’s relentless growth has come at the expense of its workers, the environment, and the law. Since 2005 it has agreed to pay about $ 1 billion in damages in six different cases related to unpaid work. The U.S. Department of Justice and the Securities and Exchange Commission are investigating allegations of corruption by company executives in its Mexican subsidiary, Walmart’s biggest, and a potential coverup by executives at its headquarters in Bentonville, Ark. Walmart says it’s cooperating with the investigations and is conducting its own internal investigation and review.


Last month more than 100 workers died in a fire at a factory in Bangladesh that was sewing clothes for several retailers, including Walmart. The company says it was unaware its supplier had sent work to the factory and has fired the firm. According to Bloomberg News, the previous year Walmart had declined to sign an agreement among retailers to pay their suppliers to improve safety conditions at Bangladeshi factories. Walmart said it would be too expensive.


Walmart has survived labor fights before. But Murray and a core group of about 100 employees—along with the largest union of retail employees in the country and a branding firm founded by a top adviser to President Obama—are the architects of what may prove to be the most potent challenge yet. Crucially, the thousands of associates who have joined OUR Walmart say they’re not agitating for legal recognition or collective bargaining rights; unlike previous efforts, they’re not trying to unionize. They say they want to make Walmart a better place to work and shop. “It’s a cause that affects every American,” says Murray.


There’s also growing financial pressure. Walmart wants to expand into big cities where its size and power are controversial. Elected officials, community leaders, and residents often see the company as a disruptive economic force and a socially dubious one as well. “A business case can be made that it would be smart for them to figure out a way to improve the situation for their workers so that OUR Walmart is an ally, not an opponent,” says Ken Jacobs, chairman of the University of California at Berkeley Labor Center. Or it could continue to dismiss OUR Walmart as a small group of disgruntled associates who speak only for themselves and their union backers. Despite the organization’s success in attracting attention to the Black Friday strikes, less than one-tenth of 1 percent of the company’s U.S. workforce participated. What’s certain is that Walmart’s management is facing a new kind of unrest at a time when it’s already vulnerable. Says Julius Getman, a labor law professor at the University of Texas School of Law: “This is a battle for the soul of Walmart’s workforce.”


Walmart has been opposed to unions since Sam Walton opened his first store in Rogers, Ark., in 1962. These days, “we have human resources teams all over the country who are available to talk to associates, and we will get questions about joining a union,” says David Tovar, a spokesman for the company. “We would say: ‘Let us remind you of all that Walmart offers, and of what might go away. Quarterly bonuses might go away, vacation time might go away.’ ”


Tovar says the company is proud of the jobs it offers, that its benefits are affordable and comprehensive, and that there are plenty of opportunities for associates to advance. Walmart has more employees working full-time than its competitors do, he says, and a lower turnover rate. “The suggestion that the issues OUR Walmart is raising are widespread or representative of any sizable number of associates is ludicrous,” he says. “We know this because we have hard data. And we know this because our managers and executives are in our stores every day asking associates questions. They believe what they’re getting at Walmart is a good deal.”


In a rare public appearance at the Council on Foreign Relations in New York on Dec. 11, Walmart Chief Executive Officer Mike Duke, interviewed by Bloomberg LP CEO Daniel Doctoroff, dismissed the idea of a rift between Walmart’s employees and management. “The characterization is not always accurate,” he said. “This tension for me is not a tension.”


Murray’s campaign started six years ago. Backed by the UFCW, and a coalition it called “Wake Up Walmart,” Murray tried to get workers in her store to join the union. She didn’t get far. “We knew we had to do something different this time,” she says. “The organization had to be made by associates and for associates so they would feel more free to join.”


Organizers at the UFCW felt the same way. In 2010 the union hired a veteran labor leader, Dan Schlademan, to be the director of “Making Change at Walmart,” a campaign it had just launched. “We needed to build something new,” says Schlademan. He connected with Murray and a few other Walmart employees and then turned to ASGK Public Strategies, the media and branding firm started by David Axelrod, a senior political adviser to President Obama. (Axelrod had sold his stake by 2010.) “There is a permanent political campaign around the legitimacy of Walmart on both sides,” says Nelson Lichtenstein, a history professor at the University of California at Santa Barbara and author of The Retail Revolution: How Wal-Mart Created a Brave New World of Business. “Walmart hires operatives who are in and out of political campaigns. Unions enlist the hottest political consultants around.”


On its side, Walmart had Leslie Dach, who had been a strategist in several Democratic campaigns and a vice chairman at public-relations firm Edelman. Dach was hired in 2006 in part to improve the company’s reputation, especially with liberal politicians and shoppers. By 2010 the company had reduced waste and energy use, tried to offer more affordable health insurance, and had supported Obamacare. At an analysts’ meeting that October, Dach said: “I think the numbers clearly show that customers and elected officials like us better. … And that makes it easier for us to site stores, makes it easier for us to stay out of the public limelight when we don’t want to be there.”


In the fall of 2010, ASGK began conducting opinion research about how to effectively reach Walmart employees. The firm declined to comment on its work, but as a former executive described it, they realized that buying an ad on Facebook (FB) would allow them to target users who had identified themselves as Walmart employees. There were about 150,000 of them. Then ASGK asked the employees to rate themselves according to how committed they were to Walmart. It focused on the group in the middle: dedicated employees with a couple of complaints. Chief among them was that they weren’t treated with respect by their managers. Second was their pay.


“ASGK was good at getting to the heart of what really was important to people,” says Schlademan. The firm helped name the movement and craft a logo that looks like the OK hand sign. “Three employees have it tattooed on their arms,” he says.


OUR Walmart had a brand. Now it needed more leaders. Maggie Van Ness was an overnight stocker at store No. 1563 in Lancaster, Calif., when she heard about the group from a UFCW representative. In the fall of 2010, Van Ness and another employee began holding meetings at a cafe every Friday, telling their co-workers about the new movement. For a couple of months, they went to the Los Angeles union hall every other week for training. “The union was very good at teaching us what we could and couldn’t do,” says Van Ness, who left the company earlier this year for health reasons. “They stood behind us and pushed in the right direction.”


ff948  feature walmart51  02  inline405 Walmart vs. WalmartPhotograph by Ryan Lowry for Bloomberg BusinessweekOUR Walmart member Mary Pat Tifft in Wisconsin


Mary Pat Tifft, from store No. 1167 in Kenosha, Wis., joined the organization in the spring of 2011 and quickly emerged as an effective spokeswoman. Tifft, who’s 57, has worked for Walmart for almost 25 years. She says she was a contented employee until 2005, when union organizers got hold of a memo from a Walmart executive to the board of directors. The memo proposed ways to hold down spending on health care and other benefits without damaging Walmart’s reputation. It suggested capping pay, discouraging unhealthy people from applying, and expressed the company’s frustration that workers with seniority made more than new employees but were no more productive. “Reading that tells you how they feel about associates,” says Tifft. “It was degrading.” Tifft makes $ 19.96 an hour, the most she can earn without moving into management, which doesn’t interest her. Others in her store don’t make enough to support themselves, she says, and rely on the local food pantry that Walmart takes pride in contributing to. “Everyone always banked on the fact that Walmart would have your best interests at heart. But it’s not true,” she says.


In June 2011, OUR Walmart made its debut. At the UFCW’s expense, Murray, Van Ness, and Tifft, along with 97 other associates, traveled to Walmart’s headquarters a couple of weeks after the company’s annual shareholder meeting. They wrote a 12-point declaration that asked for wages and benefits that ensured no associate would have to rely on government assistance. They also called for dependable schedules, expanded health-care coverage, and the freedom to speak up without facing retaliation. In the parking lot, they presented the document to Karen Casey, the senior vice president for global labor relations. “It was really scary,” says Murray. “I think the executives were just as shocked as we were. Walmart heard us, but they didn’t listen.”


ff948  feature walmart51  04  inline405 Walmart vs. WalmartPhotograph by Ryan LowryOUR Walmart protesters take part in a Black Friday demonstration in Chicago


The Bentonville trip was the first time many OUR Walmart members met face to face. “I was so taken aback listening to other associates’ stories,” says Tifft. “It made me want to speak louder.” The first discussion about holding protests on a Black Friday began then. At a hotel conference room, Schlademan set up computers for associates to learn how to use Facebook to stay in touch and reach other potential members.


During the next year, union organizers and employee leaders worked on recruitment. Van Ness says she signed up 25 employees at her store, about 10 percent of the staff. Murray says there are 40 members at her store, though most are silent. Monthly dues are $ 5.


OUR Walmart returned to Bentonville in June 2012 for the annual meeting, which coincided with Walmart’s 50th anniversary. The group had proposed a shareholder resolution calling for greater disclosure about incentive pay for executives, spurred by allegations in the New York Times that top executives in Bentonville covered up evidence from Walmart’s own investigation into accusations of bribery in Mexico. Schlademan had found experts to help Tifft and three others, all shareholders, craft the resolution. Then he got them a lawyer when Walmart tried to have it removed from the ballot.


In front of about 16,000 people, Proposal 6 was read aloud: “We have cut costs too far, stores are understaffed and associates cannot provide customers the service that Sam Walton built the company on and that we are proud to provide. … Sam Walton said, ‘Listen to your associates, they are your best idea generators.’… There has to be a new relationship based on honesty, based on trust, based on respect.” The auditorium was full of cheers; Tifft looked stunned. The resolution, supported by Institutional Shareholder Services, a leading proxy advisory group, won about 9 percent of the vote. The Walton family controls almost half of the shares in the company.


As the holiday shopping season approached, several dozen employees at warehouses that serve Walmart walked off the job in California and Illinois to protest what they said were poor working conditions. Then, in early October, OUR Walmart staged its first strike, in Pico Rivera, Calif. From there, some members went to Bentonville for the annual meeting for analysts. They stood in the parking lot, chanting: “We do not get enough hours. We cannot take care of our families.” Later, Colby Harris, who’s 22 and works in the produce department in a Walmart in Lancaster, Tex., led a dozen or so people to Walmart’s first store. The group collected water jugs, buckets, trash cans, cooking utensils. They found a rhythm and began chanting, “What do we want? Respect! When do we want it? Now!” Says Harris: “I think we caught the managers off guard. It was exhilarating.”


ff948  feature walmart51  01  inline405 Walmart vs. WalmartPhotograph by Ryan Lowry for Bloomberg BusinessweekOUR Walmart member Colby Harris in Texas


At the meeting itself, Walmart noted how well it treats its associates. The company had already issued guidelines to store managers about how to respond to walkouts or work stoppages on Black Friday. “We wanted to ensure we provided the safest possible shopping environment for our customers,” says Walmart spokesman Tovar. The company also engaged in its own workers’ campaign. “If OUR Walmart people are in a store trying to talk to associates about joining a union, we do educate them about what it would mean,” he says.


Acknowledging their existence proved Walmart was paying attention. “That was a tactical mistake,” says Lichtenstein of UC Santa Barbara. “That ratified the importance of the protests.” Murray agrees: “It was a great recruiting tool.” She and other leaders spoke to associates afterward, explaining that despite Walmart’s assertions, their group is not trying to form a union. “Right now that’s not even a topic of conversation,” says Tifft.


On the Monday evening before Thanksgiving, Tovar told CBS News that the protests were “another union publicity stunt.” He added: “If associates are scheduled to work on Black Friday, we expect them to show up and to do their job. And if they don’t, depending on the circumstances, there could be consequences.” As encouragement, Walmart offered associates an additional 10 percent discount if they worked the full day. (They are normally entitled to a 10 percent discount.) “Some people might call that an incentive,” says Tifft. “I call it a bribe.”


On the day of the protests, Tovar issued a statement accusing the UFCW of exaggerating the scope of the demonstrations. “We had our best Black Friday ever,” he said. A week later, though, Walmart felt compelled to again counter the perception that its employees were in revolt. Michael Bender, the president of Walmart West, wrote an op-ed in the San Francisco Chronicle with the headline, “Our workers love their jobs.” “I want our associates to know we have their backs,” he wrote.


Cindy Boyd has been a full-time associate at a Walmart in Glendale, Calif., for the past 15 years. Her husband and son work there, too. She doesn’t support OUR Walmart. “I feel like, if they’re not happy, maybe it’s not the right fit for them,” she says. “They shouldn’t bash the company that feeds them.” Shirley Jeanine Clem says she thought the protests were silly and unnecessary. She’s been working at a Baytown (Tex.) store for nine years and was among the women reimbursed after the company found they had been paid less than men for the same work. “As a caring mother, I do not hesitate to tell my daughters to work for Walmart,” she says.


OUR Walmart’s decision to create a new kind of organization makes it a less predictable adversary than the company is used to. Yet it’s hard to assess if the group will achieve its goals without the legal protections that come with union recognition. “Walmart has the advantage of money and power, but these things can be overcome,” says Getman of the University of Texas. “The very fact that the situation is unusual gives an advantage to OUR Walmart.” The group has gotten Walmart’s attention. Beyond that, it may be years before it’s possible to assess its impact on the company.


Meanwhile, Walmart has filed a complaint with the National Labor Relations Board claiming OUR Walmart has been organizing without seeking union recognition. The UFCW is reviewing more than 100 violations of workers’ rights by Walmart and has promised to continue supporting OUR Walmart as long as the group needs help. “Everything will be building toward an even bigger Black Friday 2013,” says Schlademan.


“I’m pretty sure Bentonville knows that we’re here to stay,” says Murray. “I’m not going anywhere. I’m not backing down.”


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Delta buys into Virgin Atlantic







Delta Air Lines has agreed a deal to buy Singapore Airlines’ 49% stake in Virgin Atlantic for $ 360m (£224m).






Virgin Group and Sir Richard Branson will retain a 51% shareholding, and the Virgin brand will remain in place, the new partners said in a joint statement.


The deal is subject to regulatory approval in the US and Europe.


It follows a spat between Sir Richard and Willie Walsh, boss of BA-owner International Airlines Group over the future of Virgin Atlantic.


Earlier, Mr Walsh offered to wager a “knee in the groin” in a bet with Sir Richard over whether the Virgin brand would still be around in five years.


He was responding to a £1m bet offered by Sir Richard on Monday.


‘Exciting day’


Virgin and Delta said the deal would allow allow them to “overcome slot constraints” and offer more flights from Heathrow.


The carriers will operate 31 peak-day round trips between the UK and North America.


“Our new partnership with Virgin Atlantic will strengthen both airlines and provide a more effective competitor between North America and the UK, particularly on the New York-London route,” said Delta boss Richard Anderson.


Sir Richard said it was an “exciting day” in Virgin’s history.


“It signals the start of a new era of expansion, financial growth and many opportunities for our customers and our business.”


Singapore Airlines is selling its stake, which it has owned since 1999, because of increased competition in its local market.


Low-cost airlines in particular have mushroomed, threatening more traditional carriers like Singapore Airlines.


Singapore Airlines has itself launched a low-cost carrier, called Scoot, and has been putting money into its regional service, SilkAir.


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As “fiscal cliff” nears, market complacency sets in












NEW YORK (Reuters) – Like many on Wall Street, investor Todd Petzel cringed when U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner said this past Wednesday that he was ready to let the economy go over the “fiscal cliff” if Republicans would not agree to higher tax rates on the rich.


“I didn’t think good things would come out of the comment,” said Petzel, the chief investment officer at Offit Capital Advisors in New York. “But nothing happened.”












The rhetoric heated up again on Friday, when Republican House Speaker John Boehner accused President Barack Obama of “slow-walking” the economy to the edge of the cliff. Again, markets brushed it off and showed very little reaction.


Investors’ collective shrug marks a stark change from how they had behaved in the two weeks after the presidential election, when nearly every utterance from a politician about the looming budget crisis caused wild swings in stock prices.


The S&P 500 index has nearly retraced the 5.3 percent slide it suffered in the first seven sessions after the November 6 vote. Some of the rebound reflects market confidence that Democrats and Republicans, despite their rhetoric, will eventually agree on at least a short-term deal to avoid the cliff – nearly $ 600 billion of tax increases and spending cuts set to take effect in January that could bring on a new recession.


It also could be that investors have peered over the cliff and realized they are looking at a gentle slope instead.


“The sentiment has definitely changed,” said Andrew Wilkinson, chief economic strategist at Miller Tabak & Co in New York. “The market has become somewhat desensitized to headlines out of Washington because the fear of the economy hitting a wall in 2013 if we don’t get a deal done has diminished.”


While the S&P 500 was on track to end the first week of December nearly flat, performance throughout November was far more volatile, with the index lurching from a loss of more than 2 percent one week to a gain of more than 3 percent the next. The benchmark ended the month 0.3 percent higher.


“Seasoned investors know that waiting on the sidelines for clarity about fiscal negotiations is not an option,” Carmine Grigoli, chief investment strategist at Mizuho Securities, wrote this week in a note to clients.


“In our view, the worst case outcomes are likely to be avoided and the stock market should rise by 5 percent to 7 percent once the risk of fiscal Armageddon is behind us.”


SENTIMENT HAS CHANGED


Not everyone is brushing off the risks entirely. Investors could be too sanguine and the end of the year could come without a deal. The market could yet lurch downward, repeating the big sell-offs that occurred during the 2011 debt ceiling talks.


But while chief executives have complained that not knowing what future taxes will be has suppressed investment and hiring, some investors say lawmakers still have time in early 2013 to strike a deficit-reduction deal without imperiling the economy.


Michael Fredericks, lead manager of the BlackRock Multi-Asset Income Fund, said the recent malaise may simply be “a little bit of fatigue” setting in.


“This short-termism and parsing the language that comes out of the mouths of politicians is getting a little old. People are stepping back and saying: ‘How can I possibly make an investment decision based on the next press release or TV appearance by the latest senior Republican or Democrat?’”


One indicator of the market’s reduced concern is the defense sector, which will be hit hard if the spending cuts take effect. The PHLX Defense Sector Index is up 13 percent for the year, and sits just a few points from a yearly high.


The CBOE Volatility index, Wall Street‘s so-called fear gauge that tends to move inversely to the S&P 500, has slipped about 2 percent since November 1.


“Lately, we’ve just started seeing some small upticks in VIX futures. But it’s not like someone is coming into the market to buy a whole lot. It’s just nibbling here and there, which shows that there isn’t too much concern out there about the fiscal cliff,” said J.J. Kinahan, chief derivatives strategist at the brokerage TD Ameritrade in Chicago.


A survey of 62 Wall Street money managers released on December 5 showed market losses would be manageable if the U.S. goes over the fiscal cliff, even though worries still run deep.


Conducted by the Washington-based Potomac Research Group, the survey showed more than 60 percent expected the Dow Jones industrial average to fall 10 percent or more if a deal is not reached by year end. That would put the blue chip index below the 12,000 level.


Petzel called that 10 percent estimate “plausible,” adding that the market’s newfound calm about the cliff was more to do with the “numbness that comes from watching every moment of a blow-by-blow negotiation” than with a lack of concern.


The good news is that such a sharp drop likely will convince Republicans and Democrats to find common ground. That, he said, is what happened in the past few years to European policymakers, who saw markets sell off when they were slow to address an ongoing debt crisis.


“Then they realize, ‘Oh, this is a big deal, we should get it right.’ And so they would do something – not a lot – but something that the market could hang its hat on, and that would spark a rebound.”


(Reporting by Angela Moon and Steven C. Johnson; Editing by Tiffany Wu and Bill Trott)


Business News Headlines – Yahoo! News


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